SATURDAY, August 16, 2008 7:00 PM

The Black Swan or Black-Scholes – The Revolution in the Philosophy of
Science and the Science of Philosophy

Gerry Smedinghoff

The #1 Best Selling non-fiction book of 2007 was Nassim Taleb’s
The Black Swan, which undermines the primary advances in the economic,
political and social sciences of the 20th century. His thesis is that the
process of the advancement of knowledge, via the accumulation of data and
application of the scientific method, is rendered meaningless by
inexplicable and unpredictable events such as September 11th, 2001, stock
market crashes, and wars, which always start-out as small skirmishes, but
drag on for years or decades.

Gerry will define the Black Swan phenomenon, how it has undermined the main
intellectual achievements of the 20th century, and how to apply it to your
personal and professional philosophy, including your investments for

OPTIONAL READING: Gerry’s book review
http://www.contingencies.org/mayjun08/swan.pdf, which provides a summary of
the book and its applications to actuarial science, Nassim Taleb’s home page
http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/, which provides links to several reviews
of the book and interviews with the author, and the book itself.

Jackie Hazelton
(w) 480-693-4175 (h) 480-921-1156
(e) AZObjectivists_at_cox_dot_net
Jim Kirk
(e) JAMTKIRK_at_aol_dot_com

Reply to this message to AZObjectivists_at_cox_dot_net or
Call Jackie Hazelton at 480-921-1156

Snacks or beverage to share or a monetary donation.